Sat. Jan 16th, 2021

These four graphs may push the Western Cape back into a ‘tougher lockdown’

The Western Cape rests on a knife-edge: A sharp rise in new COVID-19 cases and hospitalisations has raised fears that strict lockdown measures may return.

these four graphs may push the western cape back into a tougher lockdown - These four graphs may push the Western Cape back into a ‘tougher lockdown’

Western Cape Premier Alan Winde remains very open about the prospect of wheeling back the province’s lockdown measures, as cases continue to surge in several hot-spots. Both the Garden Route and the Cape Town Metro regions are under severe scrutiny, as local outbreaks sent the COVID-19 infection rates soaring.

COVID-19 cases in the Western Cape

The neighbouring Eastern Cape is already staring down the barrel of reintroduced restrictions, with some speculating that a version of ‘Level 3 lockdown’ could return to the province. Last week, Zweli Mkhize hinted that changes were afoot – and it seems the Western Cape is heading in a similar direction.

Local hot-spots – or clusters – are driving up national numbers. With a hectic travel period due in December, the chances of the virus spreading climb sharply. South Africa could be hit by a second wave of COVID-19 if we’re not careful, and it looks like those in the south-west are already on course for some vital interventions:

Western Cape hot-spots and the ‘dangerous data’

City of Cape Town

  • The seven-day average is 2 900. In the previous seven-day period, cases were at 1 600.
  • A total of 724 patients are currently in hospital – with dozens in ICU – after testing positive for the virus.
  • Tygerberg, Mitchell’s Plain, and the Western and Southern Suburbs have experienced the sharpest case increases.
60f7feac city of cape town - These four graphs may push the Western Cape back into a ‘tougher lockdown’

Garden Route

  • In the Garden Route, the seven-day average is now 2 645 cases. That’s compared to 1 190 cases in the preceding seven days.
  • A total of 242 patients are now in hospital with COVID-19.
  • George, Mossel Bay, and Knsyna have been branded the most ‘infectious’ regions, with cases more than doubling this week.
157ae087 garden route - These four graphs may push the Western Cape back into a ‘tougher lockdown’

All municipalities in the Western Cape

  • The Garden Route is now experiencing a higher number of cases than it was during the ‘first wave’.
  • The City of Cape Town has hit a three-month high for new infections.
  • The Western Cape’s District Municipalities are averaging their worst totals since the middle of our winter surge.
143fdcf4 the all together - These four graphs may push the Western Cape back into a ‘tougher lockdown’

Weekly averages paint a grim picture

  • Over 1 100 people are now in hospital after being diagnosed with COVID-19.
  • The weekly average for cases in the Western Cape has almost trebled in the past eight weeks.
  • The average spiked by almost 1 000 cases – the highest figure since winter.
40c0ebbc western cape - These four graphs may push the Western Cape back into a ‘tougher lockdown’

All data provided by covid19sa, the NICD, Wits University, and the National Health Department

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